How conviction trades differ from consensus trades – and why it matters
Conviction trades and consensus trades behave very differently. Understanding whether a position is driven by independent analysis or crowded belief helps investors assess risk, timing and durability long before price action reveals the difference.
How positioning drives price: why markets move before the news breaks
Markets often move before headlines appear. Price action reflects positioning, not prediction — showing how expectations, leverage and sentiment combine to move capital long before the story makes it to the front page.
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